Fact Check: NO Hungarian Poll Would Have Orbán At 68% And Magyar At 35% Of The Vote -- Official Polls Would Add Up To 100%

Fact Check

  • by: Maarten Schenk
Fact Check: NO Hungarian Poll Would Have Orbán At 68% And Magyar At 35% Of The Vote -- Official Polls Would Add Up To 100% Total = 103%

Is there an "official poll" in Hungary that shows Viktor Orbán with 68% and Péter Magyar with 35% of the vote as some social media posts imply? No, that's not true: Official polls would add up to a total of 100% and this one adds up to 103%, mathematically impossible. None of the social media posts with the phrase "Orbán is set to win big with 68%, while EU- and Ukraine-backed Péter Magyar lags at just 35%" reviewed by Lead Stories contained a link to any poll.

A viral version of the claim appeared in a post on X (archived here) on April 10, 2026. It read:

🚨🇭🇺BREAKING: Latest official poll in Hungary shows Viktor Orbán and his Fidesz party heading for a landslide victory in Sunday's parliamentary elections.

Orbán is set to win big with 68%, while EU- and Ukraine-backed Péter Magyar lags at just 35%.

This is what the post looked like:

(Screenshot of post by "Mario ZNA" on X.)

The account bio of "Mario ZNA" on X indicates it is not Hungarian:

Host of the Mario Zna Podcast, Proud Serbian and Orthodox Christian!

A Google search for the phrase "Orbán is set to win big with 68%, while EU- and Ukraine-backed Péter Magyar lags at just 35%." (archived here) only returned four pages of results at the time of writing. Lead Stories reviewed every one of them and none of them linked back to any official polling website: most were just references to the "Mario ZNA" post on X.

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  Maarten Schenk

Maarten Schenk is the co-founder and COO/CTO of Lead Stories and an expert on fake news and hoax websites. He likes to go beyond just debunking trending fake news stories and is endlessly fascinated by the dazzling variety of psychological and technical tricks used by the people and networks who intentionally spread made-up things on the internet.

Read more about or contact Maarten Schenk

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